Niger’s Political Shift: Military Coup, Strategic Alliances, and Uncertain Future

The political landscape in Niger took a significant turn on July 26, 2023, when Colonel-Major Amadou Abdramane announced the military takeover, ending President Mohamed Bazoum’s regime. The coup, attributed to deteriorating security and governance, led to the formation of the National Council for the Salvation of the Fatherland (CNSP). Initially, there was confusion about who would lead the new government, but General Abourahamane Tiani was eventually endorsed as the president of the transitional government after internal disagreements.

Niger still is economic difficulties a year from Junta coming to power. https://t.co/A0CFuZfVcG

— AW🇸🇾🇵🇸🇱🇧🇨🇺🇻🇪🇧🇫🇳🇪🇲🇱🇿🇦🇷🇸🇮🇪🇪🇺 (@kapahajai) July 25, 2024

This move aligned Niger with neighboring Mali and Burkina Faso, both under military rule, and marked a shift away from Western partnerships. The coup strained relations with the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), which imposed sanctions and threatened military intervention. Instead of yielding, Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso formed the Alliance of Sahel States (AES), further distancing themselves from Western influence.

Despite the junta’s claims of successes in countering Islamist threats, the security situation remains precarious. Critics, including former security advisor Moussa Moumouni, argue that security has worsened, citing increased casualties among security personnel since the coup. Independent experts also express concerns over the lack of a comprehensive strategy for tackling the country’s challenges.

Economically, Niger faces pressure, particularly after falling out with ECOWAS. A recent dispute with Benin over oil exports to China exemplifies the country’s strained economic relations. Niger now relies heavily on alliances with Mali and Burkina Faso and is exploring partnerships with Russia and Turkey, reflecting a broader geopolitical shift.

📍House Armed Services Committee and told Panetta that Niger’s ruling junta “has not asked or demanded” that the U.S. military leave Niger.https://t.co/QDlunIFi0Q

— Çağatay Cebe (@Mucagcebe) July 24, 2024

The junta’s promises of a return to democracy after a three-year transition appear increasingly uncertain. General Tiani’s administration remains largely military, with no significant progress towards democratic governance. This situation has created an atmosphere of fear and repression, with former President Bazoum still in custody and public discussion of elections being stifled.

Key Points:

• Niger’s military coup on July 26, 2023, ousted President Mohamed Bazoum, led by Colonel-Major Amadou Abdramane and General Abourahamane Tiani.
• The coup aligned Niger with Mali and Burkina Faso, forming the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) and moving away from Western partnerships.
• Critics argue the security situation has worsened, with increased casualties among security personnel and a lack of a comprehensive strategy.
• Economic challenges persist, particularly after disputes with ECOWAS and Benin, pushing Niger towards alliances with Russia and Turkey.
• Promises of a return to democracy remain uncertain, with fears of repression and former President Bazoum still in custody.

Charles William III – Reprinted with permission of Whatfinger News